年末建设积压下降1%
据美国联合建筑商和承包商(ABC)称, the Construction 回来log Indicator (CBI) for the fourth quarter of 2014 declined 0.1个月，或者1%. Despite the quarterover- quarter decline, backlog ended the year at 8.7个月，还是4个月.比一年前高出4%.”
“Inconsistent growth in the volume of public work continues to suppress the pace of nonresidential construction; however, 私人建筑的势头继续增强,美国广播公司首席经济学家阿尼班·巴苏说. 随着酒店入住率的上升, office vacancy falling and demand for data climbing exponentially, a number of key private segments are positioned for rapid growth in construction spending this year.”
“There are a number of factors that are likely to be beneficial to nonresidential contractors in 2015,”苏说. “第一, al虽然 interest rates were expected to rise after the Federal Reserve ended its third round of quantitative easing, they have actually been trending lower—due to factors such as falling interest rates abroad and a strengthening U.S. 美元—which helps contractors with construction volume and borrowing costs. 第二个, materials prices have continued to fall—particularly inputs related to the price of oil, 铁矿石和铜. This also makes it more likely that construction projects will move forward and helps boost profit margins.”
区域亮点
- Average backlog in the 南 is back above 9 months for the first time since the first quarter of 2014.
- Though backlog in the West fell sharply during 2014’s final quarter, 平均积压量与一年前持平.
- Both the Northeast and the Middle States registered levels of average backlog unseen during the history of the CBI survey.
行业的亮点
- Average backlog in the commercial and institutional category is virtually unchanged over the past year, 这表明复苏的步伐总体上将保持温和.
- Infrastructure-related spending is likely to be brisk going forward primarily due to improved state and local government fiscal conditions.
- Heavy industrial average backlog remains in the vicinity of multi-year highs, but these readings do not fully reflect the impact of a stronger U.S. 美元, which may result in a slowdown in export growth and an associated softening in industrial investment.
改编自:http://www.美国广播公司.org/新闻Media/ConstructionEconomics/Construction回来logIndicator/tabid/272/entryid/3509/yearend-construction-backlog-drops-1-percent.aspx
3月比林斯数据显示春天的迹象
“After disappointing results in January and February, billings at U.S. architecture firms showed some signs in March of emerging from their winter doldrums. The national Architecture Billings Index score for the month was 51.从50个增加到7个.2月4. 更令人鼓舞的是, 对新项目活动的查询显示了良好的收益, while the index score for new design contracts rebounded to 52.在报告50点没有收获之后.2月0分.
尽管账单活动的总体趋势是积极的, 仍然存在着显著的区域差异. 中西部公司, 南, 和West都报告了3月份的账单增长, with all three regions seeing acceleration over February levels. 然而, 东北部的公司报告了相对陡峭的下滑, with the string of weak numbers extending to seven straight months for firms in this region. Hopefully this downturn will turn out to be a weather-related seasonal episode, in which case we would expect to see growth resuming over the next few months.
By sector, institutional activity continues to recover at a very healthy pace. 机构公司的ABI指数为53.2 for March, and the tenth straight month of growth for this sector. 过去的两个月, institutional firms have been reporting the strongest growth of any building sector, which holds out promise of a healthy institutional construction market later this year. Commercial firms are also seeing improvement, as the ABI score for these firms was 53.0 for March, reflecting the strongest upturn in billings of the past 18 months. 往另一个方向移动, 虽然, 住宅公司, which have reported modest billings declines for the past two months.”
-详见:http://www.友邦保险.org/practicing/AIAB106273
NRCI 2014年第四季度亮点
总体经济:
在2014年的前两个季度开局良好之后, panelists’ opinion of the overall economy has lost some exuberance. 该指数的最新读数下降了2.7分到72分.1.
小组成员开展业务的整体经济:
The softer outlook for the overall economy has trickled down to panelists’ local businesses dropping this component 3.2比71.8本季度.
小组成员的施工业务:
Uncertainty in the overall economy makes it difficult to sustain a growth mode as the index component for panelists’ construction business slipped from 76.上季度6至70.6.
Nonresidential Building Construction Market Where Panelists Do Business:
Still in much better shape than last year, this index component lost 3.1比71.2本季度.
待办事项中预期的变化:
回来logs are still growing, but at a slower rate than earlier in the year. 第二季度和第三季度未完成订单的中位数达到了10个月, 但是回到了9个月, 2013年全年也是如此.
建筑材料及人工费:
Al虽然 the index score for both improved slightly this quarter, 人工和材料的成本仍在上升, 从而压低了NRCI指数的总体得分.
生产力:
The component score for productivity slipped this quarter to its lowest point since the third quarter of 2010. 现在在49.0, it appears that rising labor costs are not being offset by improving productivity; thus it is likely that profitability will take a hit if this becomes a trend.
改编自:http://www.fminet.com/media/pdf/forecasts/NRCI_Q4_2014.pdf
These projections are based on assumptions of fact which may not occur, 本质上是投机性的. These projections have not been reviewed or approved by independent accountants or legal counsel or other advisors. Such assumptions are subject to variations that may arise in the future and which may be beyond the control of the corporation. Any change or variation in any of the assumptions would change the projected financial statements and analysis. 无陈述或保证, 明示或默示, is intended as to the reasonableness or accuracy of these projections.
